بررسی تاثیر عامل‌های اقتصادی و اجتماعی بر موفقیت ورزشی کشورها در بازی‌های المپیک (2012-1996)

نویسندگان
دانشگاه پیام نور
چکیده
موفقیت ورزشی کشورها در مسابقات بین المللی متاثر از عوامل مختلفی است.شناخت عوامل موثر در موفقیت ورزشی می تواند در امر تدوین برنامه های ورزشی درجهت توسعه نیروی انسانی با نگاه به عوامل اقتصادی و اجتماعی موثر باشد.این مقاله در صدد تاثیر ارزیابی عوامل اقتصادی و اجتماعی بر موفقیت ورزشی کشورها در بازی‌های المپیک است. برای تحقق این هدف از عملکرد همه ی کشورهای شرکت کننده در بازی های المپیک در کسب مدال های طلا، نقره و برنز برای پنج دوره در طی سال های 2012-1996 استفاده شد و در قالب یک رویکرد توصیفی تبیینی تلاش گردید که عوامل موثر بر میزان موفقیت کشورها در بازی های المپیک از طریق مدل اقتصاد سنجی لاجیت ارزیابی شود. نتایج دلالت بر آن دارد که شاخص توسعه‌ی انسانی، تعداد شرکت کنندگان، ترازتجاری، درآمد سرانه و عملکرد ورزشی دوره قبل احتمال موفقیت ورزشی کشورها در بازی‌های المپیک را افزایش می‌دهد. همچنین جمعیت تاثیری منفی و غیرمعناداری بر احتمال موفقیت ورزشی کشورها داشته است. نتایج این پژوهش نشان داد که شاخص توسعه‌ی انسانی موثرترین عامل بر افزایش احتمال موفقیت ورزشی کشورها در بازی‌های المپیک بوده است.
کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله English

The Effect of Economic and Social Factors on the Success of Sport in the Olympic Games (2012-1996)

نویسندگان English

Farhad Khodadad Kashi
elham Karimnia
Payame Noor University
چکیده English

Sporting success in international competitions is influenced by various factors. Exercise can identify the success factors in the development of sports programs for the development of human resources with a view to effective economic and social factors. This study investigates the impact of socioeconomic factors on the countries sports success at the Olympic Games.In this regard ,Using performance data of all the countries participating in the Olympic Games gold medal, silver and bronze medals during the years 1996-2012 in the form of a descriptive one tries to approach the factors affecting the success of the country in the Olympic Games of logit econometric model to be evaluated through.The results indicate that the net effect of human development indicator variables, number of participants, the trade balance, GDP, Sports performance period to increase the likelihood of successful sport in the Olympics. The population insignificantly negative impact on the sports chances of success, The results of this study showed that the most effective human development index of the sport in the Olympics has been an increase in the probability of success.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Olympic Games
Sport economic
Human Development Index
logit model
Sport Success
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