اثر اندازه دولت بر آلایندگی محیط زیست در ایران

نویسنده
شهریار زروکی
دانشگاه مازندران
10.29252/jemr.9.36.195
چکیده
با توجه به اهمیت موضوع و نقش غیرقابل انکار محیط­زیست در زندگی افراد جامعه، در این پژوهش تلاش بر آن است تا فرضیه­ی ارتباط اندازه دولت و ترکیب هزینه­های دولت (از حیث جاری و عمرانی) بر انتشار دی‎اکسید کربن در ایران در دوره 1395-1350 بر مبنای رهیافت خودرگرسیونی با وقفه‌های توزیعی مورد آزمون قرار گیرد. برای تبیین بهتر، فرضیه فوق بر مبنای دو بخش تولیدی (صنایع تولیدی) و مصرفی (خانگی، تجاری، عمومی؛ و حمل­و­نقل) نیز موردبررسی واقع شده است. نتایج پژوهش در بلندمدت نشان می‌دهد که علیرغم عدم اثرگذاری اندازه دولت بر انتشار دی­اکسید کربن، نسبت هزینه­های جاری و نسبت مخارج عمرانی دولت به ترتیب اثر مستقیم (نامطلوب) و معکوس (مطلوب) بر انتشار دی‎اکسید کربن دارند. همچنین نسبت مخارج عمرانی دولت در هر دو بخش تولیدی و مصرفی اثری معکوس (مطلوب) بر انتشار دی‎اکسید کربنِ این بخش­ها دارد. این در حالی است که هزینه جاری دولت در هر دو بخش با اثر معنادار همراه نیست. شدت انرژی نیز در قالب کلی اثر مستقیم (نامطلوب) بر انتشار دی‎اکسید کربن داشته و اگرچه شدت انرژی بخش تولیدی اثر معناداری بر نسبت انتشار دی‎اکسید کربن در این بخش ندارد ولی در بخش مصرفی، شدت انرژی با اثری مستقیم (نامطلوب) بر انتشار دی‎اکسید کربن همراه است.
کلیدواژه‌ها
اندازه دولت
محیط زیست
شدت انرژی
ایران

عنوان مقاله English

Effect of Government Size on Environmental Pollution in Iran

نویسنده English

Shahryar Zaroki
University of Mazandaran
چکیده English

Given the importance of the issue and the undeniable role of the environment in the community's life, in this research, it is attempted to test the hypothesis of the relationship between the government size and composition of government expenditure (Current and developmental) on carbon dioxide emissions in Iran during 1971-2016 based on autoregressive distributed lag approach. To better explain, the above hypothesis is based on two parts of production (production industries) and Consumable (household, commercial, general; and transportation) has been investigated. Long-run results show that despite the fact that government size does not affect carbon dioxide emissions; the current cost ratio and developmental spending ratio of government respectively have a direct (undesirable) and reverse (favorable) effect on carbon dioxide emissions. In addition, the developmental spending ratio of government in both production and consumable sectors has a reverse effect on the carbon dioxide emissions of these sectors. However, the current cost ratio of government in both sectors does not have a significant effect. Energy intensity has a direct effect on carbon dioxide emissions in general format, and although the energy intensity of the production sector has no significant effect on the carbon dioxide emission ratio in this section but in the consumable sector, energy intensity is associated with direct (undesirable) effects on carbon dioxide emissions.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Government Size
Environment
Energy Intensity
Iran
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