بررسی عوامل تأثیرگذار بر اجاره مسکن در مناطق شهری ایران با تأکید بر گروه‌بندی شهری

نویسندگان
حجت ایزد خواستی
عباس عرب‌مازار
محبوبه رفاهی
دانشگاه شهید بهشتی
10.52547/jemr.12.45.53
چکیده
اجاره مسکن تحت تأثیر قیمت مسکن در ادوار مختلف بوده است و رشد قیمت مسکن باعث کاهش توان خرید متقاضیان مسکن و افزایش درصد خانوارهای اجاره‌نشین‌ شده است. بنابراین، هرگونه رکود و رونق در بخش مسکن تأثیر مستقیم بر بازار اجاره مسکن دارد و برنامه‌ریزی به منظور کنترل بازار اجاره بدون توجه به بازار مسکن محقق نخواهد شد. در این راستا، هدف از این تحقیق بررسی عوامل اثرگذار بر اجاره مسکن بر اساس دوگروه‌ شامل شهرهای بزرگ و شهرهای کوچک و متوسط در ایران با استفاده از مدل گشتاور عمومی تعمیم‌یافته (GMM) در دوره زمانی (1397-1387) است. نتایج حاصل شده بیانگر این است که قیمت اجاره مسکن در دوره قبل، قیمت مسکن، اهرم زمین و درآمد سرانه واقعی بیشترین تأثیر مثبت را هم در شهرهای بزرگ و هم شهرهای کوچک و متوسط بر قیمت اجاره مسکن داشته‌اند. همچنین، اثرگذاری قیمت مسکن و قیمت اجاره مسکن در دوره قبل در شهرهای بزرگ بیشتر بوده است. تسهیلات اعطایی بانک مسکن، تعداد ازدواج شهری و نرخ بهره واقعی نیز سایر متغیرهای اثرگذار بر قیمت اجاره مسکن در مناطق شهری بوده‌اند.
کلیدواژه‌ها
نوسانات بازار مسکن
سیاست‌های پولی
مناطق شهری
روش گشتاور تعمیم‌یافته (GMM)

عنوان مقاله English

Investigating the Factors Affecting Housing rent in Urban Areas of Iran with Emphasis on Urban Grouping

نویسندگان English

Hojjat izadkhasti
Abbas Arab Mazar
Mahboubeh Refahi
Shahid Beheshti University
چکیده English

Rental housing has been affected by housing prices in different periods and the growth of housing prices has reduced the purchasing power of housing applicants and increased the percentage of rented households. Therefore, any recession and boom in the housing sector has a direct impact on the housing rental market, and planning to control the rental market will not be achieved without considering the housing market. In this regard, the purpose of this study is to investigate the factors affecting housing rent based on two groups included large, small and medium cities in Iran using the Generalized moment method (GMM) in the period (2008-2018). The results show that housing rental prices in the previous period, housing prices, land leverage and real per capita income of urban households had the most positive impact on housing rents in both large and small and medium cities. Also, the impact of housing prices and rental prices in the previous period has been greater in large cities. Also, Housing bank facilities, the number of urban marriages and the real interest rate were other variables affecting the rental price of housing in urban areas.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Housing market fluctuation
Monetary Policy
Urban areas
Generalized moment method (GMM)
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