بررسی اثر واردات کالاهای فناوری اطلاعات و ارتباطات بر تولید انرژی‌های تجدیدپذیر: مورد ایران

نویسندگان
مریم حاجی‌پور اپورواری
مهدی نجاتی
مجتبی بهمنی
سید عبدالمجید جلایی
دانشگاه شهید باهنر کرمان
چکیده
افزایش انتشار گازهای گلخانه‌ای موجب افزایش گرمایش زمین و همچنین آلودگی‌های محیط زیستی شده است، که این خود، یکی از بحران‌هایی است که امروزه بشر با آن مواجه است. برای مقابله با این بحران، بسیاری از کشورها به جایگزین کردن انرژی تجدیدپذیر به جای انرژی فسیلی ترغیب شده‌اند. یکی از راه‌های افزایش تولید انرژی‌های تجدیدپذیر، واردات کالاهای فناوری اطلاعات و ارتباطات می‌باشد به همین دلیلهدف این مطالعه بررسی اثر واردات کالاهای فناوری اطلاعات و ارتباطات بر تولید انرژی‌های تجدیدپذیر در ایران است. برای دستیابی به این هدف از الگوی تعادل عمومی قابل محاسبه، مبتنی بر ماتریس حسابداری اجتماعی سال 2014 که مربوط به ایران و سایر نقاط جهان می‌باشد، استفاده شده است. نتایج نشان می­دهد که با کاهش تعرفه کالاهای ICT،واردات آنها افزایش و تولید این کالاها کاهش خواهد یافت. علاوه براین، تولید انرژی­های تجدیدپذیر کاهش می­یابد. اما چنانچه واردات کالاهای ICT همراه با افزایش بهره وری عوامل تولید باشد، تولید انرژی­های تجدیدپذیربهبود پیدا می کند. با کاهش تعرفه بر واردات کالاهای ICT میزان انتشار CO2 کاهش می­یابد و افزایش بهره وری عوامل تولید، کاهش انتشار کربن را تشدید می نماید. براساس نتایج بدست آمده، پیشنهاد می‌شود که دولت از ظرفیت‌های مربوط به کالاهای فناوری اطلاعات و ارتباطات، به منظور جایگزینی انرژی تجدیدپذیر به جای انرژی فسیلی و به تبع آن کاهش آلودگی ناشی از مصرف سوخت‌های فسیلی، به طور بهینه استفاده کند.
کلیدواژه‌ها
انتشار دی-اکسیدکربن
انرژیهای تجدیدپذیر
سوختهای فسیلی
فناوری اطلاعات و ارتباطات
مدل تعادل عمومی

عنوان مقاله English

Investigating the Impacts of ICT Imports on Renewable Energy Production: the case of Iran

نویسندگان English

Maryam Hajipour Apourvari
mehdi nejati
mojtaba bahmani
Sayyed Abdolmajid jalaee
Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman
چکیده English

The increase in greenhouse gas emissions is one of the crises in today's world. Because it doubles global warming and environmental pollution. The increase in greenhouse gas emissions has encouraged many countries to substitute renewable energy instead of fossil fuel. The effective use of green energy such as renewable energy and nuclear energy is highly dependent on the technology used in the production of this type of energy. For this reason, the aim of this study is to investigate the impact of importing information and communication technology goods on renewable energy production in Iran. In this research, has been used the Computable general equilibrium model based on the social accounting matrix of 2014. The results show that in all scenarios, the production of fossil electricity in both peak and base times, as well as the production of ICT goods, will decrease because with the release of the import of these goods, foreign ICT goods will replace domestic ones and the production of these goods will be domestic. Also, the production of other sectors has increased and the largest increase is related to the gas sector. By applying the first scenario (10 to 100% change in tariff, without change in the productivity of production factors related to the production of renewable energies), with the further reduction of the tariff, the production of renewable electricity will also decrease in both peak and base times, but when The fact that the import of ICT goods is accompanied by a 3, 5 and 7 percent increase in the productivity of the production factors related to the production of renewable energies (scenarios two to four) will increase the production of renewable electricity in the base load. The production of renewable electricity at peak load has decreased in all scenarios and the results do not change with the increase in efficiency. By reducing the tariff on the import of ICT goods, the amount of CO2 emissions will decrease. Also, as the productivity of the production factors related to the sector of renewable energy production increases, CO2 decreases to a greater extent. It should be noted that with the reduction of the tariff on the import of ICT goods, the price of the goods has decreased in the investigated sectors. As a result, reduce the pollution caused by the consumption of fossil fuels and use them optimally.


کلیدواژه‌ها English

carbon dioxide emission
fossil fuel
General Equilibrium Model
information and communication technology (ICT)
renewable energy
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